Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.021349 0.023111 0.024949 0.027011 0.029262 0.031644 0.034360
2025-08-31 0.018223 0.020730 0.023491 0.026761 0.030537 0.034768 0.039880
2025-09-07 0.016187 0.019100 0.022437 0.026555 0.031515 0.037317 0.044647
2025-09-14 0.014717 0.017885 0.021633 0.026413 0.032374 0.039598 0.049070
2025-09-21 0.013462 0.016773 0.020798 0.026079 0.032863 0.041341 0.052821
2025-09-28 0.012622 0.016080 0.020389 0.026187 0.033840 0.043673 0.057384
2025-10-05 0.011827 0.015371 0.019885 0.026099 0.034505 0.045580 0.061446
2025-10-12 0.011214 0.014847 0.019567 0.026206 0.035393 0.047788 0.065999
2025-10-19 0.010664 0.014362 0.019258 0.026282 0.036211 0.049909 0.070520
2025-10-26 0.010111 0.013833 0.018849 0.026178 0.036747 0.051633 0.074540
2025-11-02 0.009645 0.013395 0.018531 0.026170 0.037396 0.053525 0.078885
2025-11-09 0.009124 0.012846 0.018024 0.025851 0.037556 0.054689 0.082178
2025-11-16 0.008577 0.012250 0.017439 0.025416 0.037566 0.055696 0.085405
2025-11-23 0.008124 0.011766 0.016993 0.025164 0.037838 0.057119 0.089389
2025-11-30 0.007723 0.011338 0.016604 0.024968 0.038173 0.058642 0.093611
2025-12-07 0.007372 0.010964 0.016271 0.024835 0.038586 0.060291 0.098125
2025-12-14 0.007004 0.010542 0.015843 0.024522 0.038684 0.061426 0.101828
2025-12-21 0.006763 0.010305 0.015685 0.024623 0.039449 0.063675 0.107561
2025-12-28 0.006496 0.010014 0.015424 0.024542 0.039898 0.065414 0.112501
2026-01-04 0.006289 0.009804 0.015282 0.024641 0.040650 0.067694 0.118536
2026-01-11 0.006088 0.009596 0.015130 0.024713 0.041349 0.069913 0.124592
2026-01-18 0.005864 0.009340 0.014887 0.024616 0.041747 0.071614 0.129790
2026-01-25 0.005673 0.009127 0.014704 0.024608 0.042295 0.073605 0.135651